Winger's Weekly Wrap-up

Pet Rescue Fair on Saturday
Reps. Christine Winger and Michael Fortner host their Pet Rescue Fair to promote pet adoption and the humane treatment of animals. Meet adoptable pets, talk to pet experts, enjoy children's activities, food trucks and more at this free family event:

Saturday, June 18, 2016
12:30 p.m. to 3:00 p.m.
2054 W. Stearns Rd, Bartlett, IL

Budget – Bond Sale
Illinois sells $550 million in bonds for transportation and infrastructure. Banks that bought the debt, which was sold on Thursday, June 16, demanded a much higher interest rate than they charge to other U.S. states. The package of bonds, which bear maturity dates from 1 to 25 years from the present date, were sold at prices that created an average interest cost of Illinois taxpayers of 3.74%. While that number may seem low, it was far higher than the rate charged by the market against other borrowers in the current environment of global rock-bottom rates on fixed-income investments. For example, with respect to a benchmark 10-year bond that was part of this week’s underwriting package, Illinois was required to pledge to pay an interest rate that was 185 basis points (1.85%) higher than the interest rate currently paid by AAA-rated borrowers.

Illinois is currently rated at Baa-2 by Moody’s, the key credit-rating firm. The negative reaction from the financial markets followed an admission by the State of Illinois and its underwriters that its worsening financial picture could entangle its ability to service its debts. The admission, contained in a prospectus for the $550 million general obligation (GO) bond sale, warned that Illinois’ cash flow is being pulled in a wide variety of directions. The prospectus stated frankly that these calls upon the State’s cash flow add up to much more money than the State is taking in, and reflects the increasing burdens imposed by medical costs incurred by legitimate recipients of health-care aid, pension payments, and other expense areas that are increasing much faster than growth in the Illinois and U.S. economies. The prospectus’s warning added up to an admission that Illinois’ structural deficit has now become a direct threat to its credit rating and fiscal standing. Market analysts pointed out that the worsening Illinois credit position has imposed a direct penalty upon its interest rates. The spread against AAA that Illinois taxpayers must pay has widened from 154 basis points in January to 185 basis points five months later.

Of the $550 million borrowed this week, $330 million is earmarked for mass transit projects, $200 million for road construction, and $20 million for other infrastructure.

Budget – Transportation
Road and bridge maintenance lead to push to reopen capital spending cycle. Illinois’ general funds budget impasse has led to problems in other areas where money is available, particularly capital spending for roads and bridges. In these capital-spending areas, money from taxes other than income and sales taxes are set aside for specific uses defined by State law. The largest of these set-asides is money from the State per-gallon tax on motor fuel, which is put into the Road Fund and used to rebuild state-maintained roads and bridges.

Governor Bruce Rauner and House Republican leaders called on Wednesday, June 15 for the immediate enactment of a “stopgap” road construction bill to maintain the State’s transportation program. Contracting crews go out to many locations every summer to relay concrete and perform needed road maintenance. This work continued even after the Illinois budget process came to a halt in June 2015. However, the State’s legal counsel and accounting staff have now advised State leadership that this cannot continue on into FY17. The director of the Illinois Department of Transportation, Randy Blankenhorn, warned reporters at a Wednesday news conference that his Department will be forced to suspend the IDOT construction program at month’s end unless money is released before then by law for transfer to contractors.

While Illinois borrowed $550 million on Thursday, June 16 to meet immediate portions of the capital-infrastructure needs covered by this warning, none of this money can legally be spent unless an authorization can be wrung out of the Democrat-controlled Illinois General Assembly.

Budget – Unpaid Bills
Comptroller Munger adds voice to calls for balanced budget action. The Comptroller maintains a website and a Twitter feed that track the ongoing pileup of Illinois unpaid bills. As of Thursday, June 16, this number had passed $7.58 billion. These unpaid bills are owed to healthcare providers, providers of community social services, providers of essential supplies to residential facilities and prisons, and other involuntary creditors of the State.

The numbers tracked by Munger serve as a reminder that the Illinois General Assembly’s Democratic majorities failed to pass a constitutional balanced budget in spring 2015 for FY16, which began on July 1, 2015. This lack of a budget and of budgetary spending controls have choked off much of the cash flow needed by creditors dependent upon Illinois’ good name and prompt payments, while other areas of Illinois spending proceed unhindered because they are covered by court orders, consent decrees, and continuing appropriations.

Economy – Unemployment Rate
Illinois Department of Employment Security (IDES) announces 0.2% drop in Illinois jobless rate. In May 2016, the jobless rate declined from 6.6% to 6.4%. The widely-tracked figure of Illinois economic strength was released on Thursday, June 16.

IDES did not say that the decline was the result of any special strength in Illinois job creation. The unemployment rate remained significantly higher than one year earlier (from 5.9% to 6.4%) and only 46,400 net new jobs have been created in Illinois during this twelve-month period, an increase of less than 0.8%. Illinois continues to support fewer total jobs than were paid during the most recent period of peak employment, a benchmark reached in September 2000. The drop in the month-by-month unemployment rate was attributed, by IDES Director Jeff Mays, to an overall decline in the Illinois workforce as Illinoisans leave the state or drop out of the employment picture.

Illinois lost 2,500 jobs overall in May 2016. Areas of comparative Illinois strength continued to be financial activities and professional and business services, with 3,200 jobs created in these two sectors in May 2016. Educational and health services saw a net loss of 2,300 jobs, partly due to significant layoffs in Illinois higher education associated with the current budget situation. The budget situation also contributed to a net loss of 2,100 jobs in government. Illinois manufacturing lost 1,100 jobs, in line with long-term trends in the factory sector.

Education – Budget
School districts begin to plan for truncated 2016-17 school year. A shortened school year could become a reality in Illinois if no State budget is enacted to appropriate money to public school districts. While education was funded in 2015-16 even in the absence of a state budget, this happened because the General Assembly passed a one-year spending bill that packaged together most of the usual line-items of State school aid. Democratic legislators last spring suspended what has become their overall refusal to appropriate money in a form tolerable to Governor Rauner and appropriated money for schools. However, the same lawmakers have so far refused to do the same thing this year.

School district spokespersons are telling the press that they are making plans for emergency budgets that will not include State school aid. Most school districts are dependent on both property tax revenue and State school aid, and will suffer if deprived of either source of funding. For example, the Monmouth-Roseville school board in west central Illinois is making preliminary plans to shut down operations and lay off teachers/other educational personnel after one semester of the 2016-17 school year. The plans include a proposal to hold an early graduation ceremony for the high school seniors of the district.

General Assembly – Budget
Illinois House session cancelled; negotiations continue to end budget impasse. House Republicans have been full participants in the continuing negotiations that are taking place to develop answers to the current questions that are affecting the Illinois budget. Talks are taking place on a variety of related issues that include school funding, higher education funding, funding for social services, labor/management reforms, and public-sector personnel expense issues.

House Speaker Michael Madigan cancelled the second of four scheduled Wednesday session days this week. Lawmakers would have met on June 15 to enable public discussion and debate on these issues, but as a result of the cancellation no meeting took place. The cancellation was criticized by Republicans, headed by Governor Rauner, who want all sides to work together to end the current impasse. “We’ve got to keep the government running,” Rauner asserted.